On January 12, 2026 (U.S. time), President Donald Trump announced via Truth Social that he is imposing a 25% tariff on any country doing business with Iran, effective immediately.
His exact post stated:
“Effective immediately, any Country doing business with the Islamic Republic of Iran will pay a Tariff of 25% on any and all business being done with the United States of America. This Order is final and conclusive.”
This dramatic escalation comes amid massive anti-government protests across Iran — the largest in years — with reports of violent crackdowns by the regime, hundreds of deaths, internet blackouts, and growing international concern.
Key Context
• The move is a form of secondary sanctions/tariffs — punishing third countries for trading with Iran (especially oil exports) rather than directly sanctioning Iran further (which is already heavily sanctioned).
• It aims to economically isolate the Iranian regime, support the protesters indirectly, and cut off Tehran’s revenue streams.
• Trump has also posted messages encouraging Iranians to “KEEP PROTESTING - TAKE OVER YOUR INSTITUTIONS!!!” and saying “HELP IS ON ITS WAY,” while keeping military options on the table.
Who Gets Hit Hardest?
The countries most affected are Iran’s major trading partners (mainly oil buyers):
• China — Buys ~80% of Iran’s exported oil; this could reignite U.S.-China trade tensions, with Beijing already threatening retaliation.
• India
• Turkey
• United Arab Emirates
• Others like Russia (to a lesser extent)
These nations’ exports to the U.S. would face an extra 25% tariff, making their goods more expensive for American importers (who ultimately pass costs to consumers).
Implementation & Challenges
• Announced as “effective immediately,” but details on enforcement, exemptions (e.g., humanitarian trade), or exact legal mechanism are still unclear.
• Legal questions remain: Can the president unilaterally impose such broad country-wide tariffs without Congressional approval? It may face court challenges.
• Economists note that tariffs are ultimately paid by U.S. importers/consumers → potential price increases for imported goods in America.
Broader Impact
This is part of a high-pressure strategy combining economic warfare, public support for protesters, and threats of military action. It risks:
• Higher global oil/commodity prices if trade flows are disrupted.
• Escalation with China (major flashpoint).
• Further strain on Iran’s already collapsing economy (hyperinflation, currency crash).
The situation is developing rapidly — Trump is meeting his national security team, and Iran has called itself “prepared for war.” More details could emerge in the coming hours/days.
If you’d like specifics on potential effects on Morocco/North Africa, oil prices, or anything else, just let me know! 🚨